Week-ahead Total Load Forecast per Day [6.1.C]

Week-ahead total load forecast per day
Regulation Article		TR articles 6.1.c and 6.2.c
Regulation text		For their control areas, TSOs shall calculate and submit the following data to the ENTSO for Electricity for each bidding zone: (c) a week-ahead forecast of the total load for every day of the following week, which shall for each day include a maximum and a minimum load value; … shall be published each Friday no later than two hours before the gate closure of the day-ahead market in the bidding zone and be updated when significant changes occur
Detailed description		A week-ahead forecast of the total load per bidding zone per day, for every day of the coming week W maximum and minimum load values (14 individual data), each Friday at the latest two hours before the gate closure time of the day-ahead market in the bidding zone or at 14:00 in local time zone of the bidding zone when gate closure hour doesn’t apply. A week starts on Monday 00:00 hours and ends on Sunday at 24:00 hours (in accordance with ISO 8601). Week-ahead estimated loads shall be updated, if there are major changes. A major change represents a change of at least 10% of the total load forecast per market time unit. The primary owners of the data are TSOs and DSOs; Nevertheless, the forecast of load of the following week is given: for information purposes only. It is drawn up, among other things, on the basis of weather forecast ahead of time. It is therefore likely to change considerably in shape and level. Note 1: The week-ahead forecast is calculated (estimated) on the historic load profile on similar days, taking into account the variables that affect electricity demand, such as weather conditions, climate and socioeconomic factors. Note 2: Higher resolution is allowed. Highest resolution is MTU. In that case, the maximum and minimum load values for each day will be published.
Specification of calculation		Maximum and minimum load value per bidding zone per day.
Primary owner of the data		TSO and DSOs.
Data provider		TSO by default.
Aggregation
Publication deadline for ENTSO-E		Publication is necessary in due-time for the negotiation of all transactions: Friday W-1, 2 hours before the gate closure or at 14:00 in local time zone if gate closure hour doesn’t exists.
Updates		The week-ahead forecast should be updated in case of changes.